Projection Proof Engine
MarketIQ does not just generate projections.
It tracks what happened next.
This report tracks whether projected price zones were reached before or on their target date. Same-day touches are separated from the main public hit-rate calculation to reduce daily-candle look-ahead bias.
Clean hit rate
66.67%
Excludes same-day touches
Clean matured
24
Achieved after signal + missed
Total unique projections
54
Current proof ledger
Achieved after signal
16
Counted in clean hit rate
Missed
8
Target not touched in time
Pending
13
Target date not reached
Same-day touches
17
Tracked but excluded
Methodology note
Public hit rate uses only projections that were achieved after the signal date or missed after maturity. Same-day touches are tracked separately because daily candles may include price action that happened before the projection was generated.
Public-safe statement
Across 54 unique projection events,24 have cleanly matured after excluding same-day candle touches. 16 reached their projected price zone after the signal, 8 missed, and 13 are still pending. Clean matured hit rate: 66.67%.